CryptoPunk #4290 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Top Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 45.0 ETH (about $102,293). 1σ range 37.5 to 54.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 64.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 85.0 ETH, 3.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 45.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.5 to 54.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 64.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Handlebars -6%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7047 2025-07-28: 85.0 ETH (47.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-05-12: 70.5 ETH (46.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-05-04: 63.4 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2996 2026-09-21: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-31: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 129 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.