CryptoPunk #4293 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Dark, Cigarette, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,115). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1085 2026-03-28: 33.3 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1085 2026-03-19: 32.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-02-16: 29.1 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-11: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-15: 24.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-22: 100 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.