CryptoPunk #4295 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Vampire Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,786). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4822 2026-07-16: 67.5 ETH (62.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8344 2026-05-19: 50.0 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1590 2026-02-07: 37.8 ETH (37.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9117 2026-01-28: 30.6 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9117 2026-01-25: 28.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9117 2026-01-21: 28.7 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-11: 6.14 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-07: 17.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-14: 25.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-25: 29.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.