CryptoPunk #4296 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Shadow Beard, Do-rag, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.6 ETH (about $81,475). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 40.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6755 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (124 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 97.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.