CryptoPunk #4307 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Knitted Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $82,779). 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2025-08-08: 53.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2025-06-03: 46.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2025-05-26: 49.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2025-05-21: 48.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2025-05-13: 50.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-02: 0.20 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.