CryptoPunk #4313 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.0 ETH (about $84,197). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 6.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7877 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7877 2026-05-06: 30.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2889 2026-03-05: 52.0 ETH (52.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4700 2025-11-19: 31.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2025-09-03: 90.1 ETH (56.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6321 2025-02-06: 40.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-04: 11.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-04: 30.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-06: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-11: 89.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-15: 70.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.