CryptoPunk #4316 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Tassle Hat, Cigarette, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $71,011). 1σ range 29.6 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 26.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 25.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-08-09: 54.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2025-06-04: 53.2 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9381 2025-03-18: 44.0 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.