CryptoPunk #4320 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.1 ETH (about $100,243). 1σ range 37.1 to 52.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.1 to 52.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1549 2026-09-04: 80.5 ETH (78.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5631 2026-07-28: 48.7 ETH (45.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7279 2026-07-03: 41.0 ETH (37.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-22: 26.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-22: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-14: 39.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-10: 43.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-27: 98.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-18: 106 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 132 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.