CryptoPunk #4328 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,225). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 144 ETH, 18.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7376 2026-02-24: 50.0 ETH (51.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7376 2025-07-28: 65.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7376 2025-01-14: 55.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3330 2025-01-14: 48.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (58.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-14: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.