CryptoPunk #433 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.5 ETH (about $73,881). 1σ range 29.7 to 35.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 38.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.7 to 35.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 38.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2688 2025-07-26: 56.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #715 2025-06-29: 42.1 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #715 2025-06-29: 40.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.