CryptoPunk #4338 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, Nerd Glasses, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.7 ETH (about $72,160). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5631 2026-07-28: 48.7 ETH (45.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-27: 32.7 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-26: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-09-25: 45.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2537 2025-05-17: 80.0 ETH (51.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8258 2025-03-30: 60.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2024-12-23: 42.5 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-14: 0.49 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 27.6 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-19: 24.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 36.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-12: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.