CryptoPunk #4364 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Crazy Hair, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,310). 1σ range 30.1 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 80.0 ETH, 16.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7136 2025-04-24: 50.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7136 2025-03-15: 39.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7136 2024-11-11: 28.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7136 2024-11-11: 27.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-18: 22.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.