CryptoPunk #4383 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Pink With Hat, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $90,284). 1σ range 34.5 to 45.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 52.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 220 ETH, 12.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.5 to 45.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 52.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Pink With Hat +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2025-06-04: 53.2 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2202 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7802 2026-09-04: 31.9 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-07: 30.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.