CryptoPunk #4386 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $81,768). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2032 2024-11-26: 40.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2032 2024-11-12: 32.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (258 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.