CryptoPunk #4390 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Headband, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.3 ETH (about $73,523). 1σ range 29.6 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 38.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 38.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1607 2026-07-04: 34.6 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8655 2026-07-04: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2075 2026-05-02: 37.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6188 2026-04-08: 28.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-21: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-25: 43.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-28: 43.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.