CryptoPunk #4393 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Blonde Bob, Welding Goggles.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.3 ETH (about $93,975). 1σ range 35.3 to 48.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 56.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 48.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 56.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Welding Goggles +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #103 2025-10-07: 48.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4889 2024-12-07: 44.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-25: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.