CryptoPunk #4394 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Stringy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.8 ETH (about $95,045). 1σ range 36.0 to 48.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 56.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.0 to 48.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 56.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Stringy Hair -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5674 2026-01-02: 27.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6457 2025-10-28: 37.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8612 2025-07-23: 62.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2043 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2043 2025-07-20: 40.0 ETH (25.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-01-06: 101 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.