CryptoPunk #4400 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 57.6 ETH (about $130,908). 1σ range 42.7 to 77.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 105 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 4.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 57.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 42.7 to 77.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 105 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (99.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9684 2024-11-22: 78.4 ETH (63.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1549 2026-09-04: 80.5 ETH (78.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1326 2026-08-21: 51.0 ETH (47.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-04-18: 0.06 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-07-17: 0.19 ETH (sale)
- 2019-11-13: 0.59 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-01: 32.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.