CryptoPunk #4402 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Earring, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.0 ETH (about $79,620). 1σ range 32.0 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.0 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Handlebars -6%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-06-04: 31.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2025-12-11: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2025-08-13: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-16: 0.11 ETH (sale)
- 2018-03-25: 0.23 ETH (sale)
- 2019-05-06: 0.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-28: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-17: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-26: 21.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-02: 19.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-08: 19.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-15: 68.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-01: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.