CryptoPunk #4410 valuation (beta)
Female, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 25.6 to 38.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.8 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.6 to 38.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.8 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1930 2026-10-31: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.6 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-07: 32.2 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7897 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-13: 11.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-15: 11.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-06: 39.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-23: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 169 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.