CryptoPunk #4411 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,337). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8389 2026-02-23: 28.9 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8389 2026-02-19: 28.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-02-09: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-19: 69.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-21: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-23: 42.1 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-29: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.