CryptoPunk #4415 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Luxurious Beard, Mohawk, Pipe, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.9 ETH (about $106,393). 1σ range 36.8 to 52.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 62.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.8 to 52.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 62.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (89.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7881 2026-05-22: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9659 2026-05-06: 38.9 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3150 2026-04-27: 29.9 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3150 2026-04-13: 26.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.