CryptoPunk #4417 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Blonde Bob, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 1,350 ETH, 30.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3116 2026-05-27: 32.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8539 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3037 2025-10-06: 48.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4868 2025-05-28: 76.5 ETH (49.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-03-03: 13.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.