CryptoPunk #4421 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Frumpy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $76,400). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4617 2024-11-12: 34.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9945 2026-07-27: 38.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8399 2025-07-29: 54.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6598 2025-07-25: 54.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2166 2025-07-20: 47.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #548 2025-07-16: 43.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.