CryptoPunk #4430 valuation (beta)
Female, Frumpy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $82,545). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6324 2026-02-14: 31.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6324 2026-02-11: 28.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6324 2025-08-13: 54.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6324 2025-08-12: 53.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6321 2025-02-06: 40.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #250 2024-11-28: 38.3 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-26: 78.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2022-07-26: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-29: 70.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-25: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.