CryptoPunk #4436 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Bandana, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,827). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2290 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5092 2026-06-13: 200 ETH (183 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1112 2026-02-06: 48.5 ETH (48.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9361 2025-10-27: 50.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8869 2025-10-26: 38.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9610 2025-04-16: 55.0 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9610 2025-01-19: 46.0 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3152 2025-01-14: 36.7 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-15: 0.12 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2018-01-19: 0.16 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 13.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-29: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-22: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-23: 46.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.