CryptoPunk #4449 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Earring, Knitted Cap, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,147). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 33.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-12-01: 33.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-11-22: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-11-11: 33.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-11-04: 33.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-04-04: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-28: 53.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-31: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.