CryptoPunk #4451 valuation (beta)
Male, Do-rag, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.0 ETH (about $77,315). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3440 2025-03-27: 42.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-10: 39.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-05: 36.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6655 2024-12-17: 41.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6655 2024-11-25: 37.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3440 2024-11-23: 37.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.