CryptoPunk #4453 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 15.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6618 2026-06-26: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4752 2026-04-25: 38.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-10-09: 34.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-10-11: 108 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-23: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-01: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-01-05: 67.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-10: 63.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-31: 48.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.