CryptoPunk #4458 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Front Beard, Clown Hair Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,416). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1702 2026-07-02: 31.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1702 2026-05-17: 33.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1702 2026-05-17: 32.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1702 2026-01-25: 27.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6471 2025-07-23: 50.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-12: 6.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-13: 8.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-02: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-06: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-26: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.