CryptoPunk #4461 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Straight Hair Blonde, Pipe, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3043 2026-01-14: 40.0 ETH (41.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4848 2025-08-22: 49.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9366 2025-07-25: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4848 2025-05-08: 44.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4950 2025-04-09: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4950 2025-03-05: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3043 2025-02-07: 39.9 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-10: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 31.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 76.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.