CryptoPunk #4468 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Orange Side, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.1 ETH (about $91,242). 1σ range 34.8 to 46.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 53.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.8 to 46.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 53.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Orange Side +27%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3267 2026-04-18: 33.3 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-23: 36.5 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7999 2025-12-29: 27.4 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1246 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7973 2025-07-28: 58.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7973 2025-05-26: 55.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-25: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2017-06-25: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-07: 0.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 114 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-29: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-30: 103 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.