CryptoPunk #4476 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Earring, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $80,226). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-12: 33.2 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-01-08: 0.42 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.