CryptoPunk #4485 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Pink With Hat, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $92,792). 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 99.0 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Pink With Hat +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9228 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-09-03: 30.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-08-09: 33.4 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-06-29: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-04-21: 26.6 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-04-16: 24.6 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6668 2026-02-20: 33.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-28: 27.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-29: 32.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.