CryptoPunk #4486 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.1 ETH (about $70,791). 1σ range 29.5 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Stringy Hair -3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5467 2025-09-23: 45.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 37.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9546 2026-08-20: 40.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-10-11: 0.13 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-08: 0.33 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-10: 0.37 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-02: 22.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 78.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-12: 62.7 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.