CryptoPunk #4488 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shadow Beard, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $80,169). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-11-28: 0.14 ETH (sale)
- 2019-06-04: 0.37 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.