CryptoPunk #4492 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Police Cap, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $90,377). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8864 2026-03-29: 31.5 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2026-02-24: 30.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2025-08-23: 56.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (117 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.