CryptoPunk #4515 valuation (beta)
Female, Clown Hair Green, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,310). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1930 2026-10-31: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.6 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6326 2026-10-08: 51.5 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 12.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 26.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-09: 130 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.