CryptoPunk #4516 valuation (beta)
Female, Knitted Cap, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $70,873). 1σ range 29.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 34.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 34.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6573 2026-09-21: 32.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-07-02: 31.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-05-17: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6825 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4449 2025-07-31: 54.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4449 2025-07-28: 53.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-28: 3.80 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-31: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 74.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-16: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-19: 65.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.