CryptoPunk #4526 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Hoodie, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 107 ETH (about $243,609). 1σ range 58.6 to 196 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 358 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 107 ETH (beta), 1σ range 58.6 to 196 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 358 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +238%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7213 2026-05-04: 115 ETH (111 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-04-23: 101 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (139 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-17: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2019-02-21: 0.37 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-04-06: 1.85 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-06: 14.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-17: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-31: 225 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-01: 300 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-21: 209 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.