CryptoPunk #4529 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Top Hat, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.1 ETH (about $100,359). 1σ range 37.1 to 52.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.1 to 52.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3017 2024-12-23: 47.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-12: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 165 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-28: 200 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.