CryptoPunk #4534 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Knitted Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,416). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7492 2026-07-23: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7492 2026-07-17: 30.1 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5087 2026-02-15: 32.8 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5087 2026-02-13: 31.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9465 2026-01-03: 28.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5087 2025-04-23: 46.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5087 2025-04-22: 43.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-03-27: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-06-08: 0.14 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-10: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 72.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.