CryptoPunk #4539 valuation (beta)
Male, Bandana, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.5 ETH (about $80,751). 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-15: 34.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-13: 34.4 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-03-04: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2025-10-04: 47.9 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3722 2025-05-13: 56.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4426 2025-04-15: 48.7 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-24: 0.19 ETH (sale)
- 2017-08-13: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-13: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-14: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-17: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-25: 23.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.