CryptoPunk #4540 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.7 ETH (about $78,791). 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-06-04: 31.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2025-12-11: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1704 2025-11-20: 34.5 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7019 2025-10-08: 47.7 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-07-31: 1.15 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 25.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.