CryptoPunk #4542 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Clown Hair Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.9 ETH (about $87,060). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.0 ETH, 6.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8344 2026-05-19: 50.0 ETH (44.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2845 2025-11-01: 39.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7848 2025-06-15: 50.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2336 2025-04-30: 57.5 ETH (39.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8325 2025-02-03: 47.5 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2336 2024-11-17: 40.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 19.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-27: 25.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-30: 27.2 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-15: 36.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-03: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.