CryptoPunk #4550 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Headband, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $90,244). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6536 2025-07-10: 45.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-09-11: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-10: 7.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-19: 104 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-19: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-15: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-03: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-04: 42.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-02-06: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-06: 44.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.