CryptoPunk #4556 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mohawk, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.6 ETH (about $74,159). 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk -8%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9700 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 32.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7635 2026-06-27: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6724 2025-03-24: 42.3 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4050 2024-12-11: 39.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4050 2024-12-04: 40.0 ETH (27.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-24: 21.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-29: 19.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-10: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.