CryptoPunk #4558 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Normal Beard, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $90,170). 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1118 2026-05-08: 61.0 ETH (59.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-11-04: 37.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-05-25: 56.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-18: 58.4 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-15: 51.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-04-08: 49.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2024-12-24: 46.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-23: 24.3 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-01: 26.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.