CryptoPunk #4563 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4449 2025-07-31: 54.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4449 2025-07-28: 53.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-09-21: 32.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8154 2026-08-31: 30.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-04-24: 60.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.