CryptoPunk #4565 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Hoodie, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 158 ETH (about $358,830). 1σ range 71.2 to 350 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 776 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 158 ETH (beta), 1σ range 71.2 to 350 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 776 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Hoodie +238%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-09: 144 ETH (145 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-02: 114 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9494 2025-05-26: 66.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9494 2025-05-13: 67.5 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4220 2025-03-14: 135 ETH (105 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8868 2025-03-01: 289 ETH (250 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-28: 0.18 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.